AEG-owned clubs to clash in Carson

Soccer Betting Lines

09/15/2007 - Carson, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Houston and Los Angeles, which are owned by the same company, AEG, are two teams on the opposite side of the spectrum.

The Dynamo are second in the Western table and are built around a gritty defensive backline and skill up the middle. The Galaxy are last in the Western table, and are built around the flashy form of superstars David Beckham and Landon Donovan.

The two clubs meet Sunday in a Major League Soccer clash at The Home Depot Center.

L.A. is coming off a 3-0 loss to CD Chivas USA Thursday night in which it lost its first Super Clasico title to the upstart Goats.

"I'm just incredibly disappointed. Anytime we face Chivas where we don't walk away with three points is a disappointment," Galaxy midfielder Kyle Martino said. "To feel like we had a lot of the run of the play and not capitalize on chances where we could have put some pressure on them adds to that disappointment."

Ante Razov scored early in the first half for Chivas before Francisco Mendoza and Laurent Merlin added two late goals.

"I thought we played well for the most part, but we're still naive in certain parts of the field," Donovan said. "I think Chivas has done that all year. They wait for you to make that mistake and then they make you pay. I thought we played well overall, but we still have a lot to learn."

Not only did the Galaxy lose the Super Clasico, but their slim playoff hopes took a major hit with the loss on Thursday. They are currently 12 points out of the final spot with just nine games left.

"We needed to get three points tonight, obviously," galaxy coach Frank Yallop said. "It's been a long year to be honest. It's been like this from the start if you like. We're going to keep going until we're out of it."

Houston is coming off a 4-3 win over Real Salt Lake last Sunday in which forward Nate Jaqua scored a hat trick in the win.

"It feels great. It's even better since we got the win," Jaqua said. "We made it tough on ourselves at the end, but we were able to get out of there at the end. Getting the hat trick is neat. I'm happy to do that."

The win extended the Dynamo unbeaten streak to four games, but the team has been anything but impressive in the stretch.

"It's three points - a much needed three points," Houston coach Dominic Kinnear said.

The Dynamo need three points in Los Angeles Sunday to keep pace with surging CD Chivas USA, which took over the top spot in the West with the win over the Galaxy Thursday. The team can clinch a spot in the '07 playoffs with a win, a Columbus loss and a Colorado loss.

After Sunday's league fixture, Houston plays at Western rival Dallas on Sept. 30 and L.A. plays at RSL Wednesday.

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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?

The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.

While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.

For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.

1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.

2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.

How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.

Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.

Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.

How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).

Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.

Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.

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