Preakness win makes Lookin At Lucky first in NTRA Poll

Horseracing Betting Lines

05/17/2010 - New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Lookin At Lucky, coming off his win in the Preakness Stakes, sits atop the latest NTRA Three-year-old Poll. The colt's success in the middle jewel of racing's Triple Crown also vaulted him into third-place in the national standings.

The 2009 champion as a two-year-old jumped from fourth in last week's poll into first following a three-quarters length win over First Dude at Pimlico Race Course. Trained by Bob Baffert, Lookin At Lucky received 14 first-place votes and 174 points.

Kentucky Derby champ Super Saver, eighth in the Preakness, dropped one spot to second with three first-place votes and 148 points.

Derby runner-up Ice Box did not run on Saturday and also fell one slot to third with 137 points.

Blind Luck, winner of the Kentucky Oaks, rose one position to fourth with 92 points.

Preakness runner-up First Dude enters the poll in fifth with 78 points.

The retired Eskendereya continued to receive one first-place vote and remains in sixth with 58 points.

Jackson Bend, third in the Preakness, also enters the poll in seventh with 48 points.

Dropping from third to eighth is Paddy O'Prado after finishing sixth in the Preakness. Third in the Kentucky Derby, Paddy O'Prado received 47 points.

Santa Anita Derby winner Sidney's Candy fell one spot to ninth with 40 points and Kentucky Oaks runner-up Evening Jewel received 31 points to also slide one notch to 10th.

In the NTRA National Poll, undefeated mare Zenyatta and Quality Road are still in the top two spots, respectively. Zenyatta has 14 first-place votes and 170 points while Quality Road has four top votes and 155 points.

Lookin At Lucky received 97 points for third followed by Misremembered 70, Blind Luck 68, Rachel Alexandra 60, Super Saver 57, Unrivaled Belle 45, Blame 36 and Rail Trip with 32 points.

Blame used a win in Saturday's $100,000 William Donald Schaefer Stakes at Pimlico to gain entrance into the poll.

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Pacific-10 Conference odds

Teams that should be in: Stanford

Oregon and USC get their tickets punched after taking care of business this weekend. Yes, the Trojans' computer numbers aren't great, but there's no way the third-place team in this league is getting nixed. Grudgingly, I added Arizona after consultation with our Bracketologist. I don't know that Arizona will lose its last three (including a Pac-10 quarterfinal game), and even if the Cats do, I still can't see how they'd be left out, given the overall profile. That said, it bears watching, as three more L's would leave them at 18-12 (9-9) and on a 6-11 skid entering the Dance. It would be nice to see the Wildcats get at least one W in the Bay Area next week, as Cincinnati (albeit without Armein Kirkland and with a worse profile) was axed after a similar slide last season. I just couldn't rationalize having some of the other teams as locks and not having Arizona in that category -- there just aren't enough good teams behind the Cats to threaten their spot, it seems. Stanford has its fate in its own hands with the Arizona schools coming to the Farm to close out the regular season next weekend.

Should be in:

Stanford [17-10 (9-7), RPI: 40, SOS: 21] No shame in not getting a win in L.A., but that makes the home game against Arizona State a must-win ahead of what could be an intriguing meeting with Arizona should the Cats lose at Cal. Getting to 11 Pac-10 wins would make Selection Sunday much more comfortable, but 10's probably more than enough this season. The Cardinal have nonconference wins over Texas Tech and at Virginia to lean on, although they also lost badly to Air Force and Santa Clara at home.

Southeastern Conference odds
Work left to do: Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, Mississippi State

It looks more and more possible that no one from the SEC West will make the NCAAs. How weird is that? Tennessee and Vandy move into the locks category after more good work this weekend. Kentucky stays there, although it would be smart for the Cats to handle Georgia at home Wednesday ahead of a trip to the Swamp. Could a disaster scenario (two more L's and a first-round SEC tourney exit) somehow dislodge the Cats despite their incredible computer numbers? Still unlikely, but not worth chancing it.

Work left to do:

Alabama [19-9 (6-8), RPI: 43, SOS: 47] The tough L at Tennessee was understandable, and even created some hope. Unfortunately, that hope was dashed by a home loss to Auburn, which leaves the Tide in some real trouble. There's still no signature win on the profile (no, Kentucky doesn't count), and the computer profile is weakening rapidly. The Tide conceivably could beat Ole Miss and win at Miss. State to get to 8-8 and clinch at least a share of the West crown, but that's probably not enough right now. The Tide will need to do some work in the SEC tourney.

Georgia [16-10 (8-6), RPI: 52, SOS: 23] This is the team with the best chance to make it from this section right now. The Bulldogs rebounded from a terrible performance at Ole Miss to beat down Miss. State. Now they are at Kentucky (king of the RPI 51-100 win) and home to Tennessee. That would be worth a lot of computer points to get both (which is doable), as both teams are in the top 11 in RPI. Finishing at least 9-7 is an absolute must, and I would feel much better about the Dawgs' chances if they got both to get to 10 SEC wins. They also beat Gonzaga, but lost to ACC bubblers Georgia Tech and Clemson.

Mississippi [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 63, SOS: 79] Like everyone else in this division, Ole Miss gacked up a chance to stake a claim, losing by double figures at South Carolina. Even 9-7 likely is not nearly enough with a nonconference profile devoid of anything notable.

Mississippi State [16-11 (7-7), RPI: 66, SOS: 37] With a chance to get in the mix, these Bulldogs were leashed by their Georgia counterparts. Could they get to 9-7? I guess -- although winning at Arkansas, then beating Alabama is no lock -- but would that mean all that much for a team with this overall profile? Probably not. There's nothing of note (on the good side) in the nonconference profile.

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